Financial markets—specifically derivatives—contain information about the range of probable future short-term interest rates.

President Daly discussed her economic outlook, reiterating that monetary policy is in a “good place” currently on Bloomberg Surveillance with co-hosts Lisa Abramowicz and Jonathan Ferro. Watch the ...

Multimodal LLMs offer a watershed change for the digitization of historical tables, enabling low-cost processing centered on domain expertise rather than technical skills. We rigorously validate an ...

The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) can be seen as a shock containing information about the future path of total factor productivity (TFP), that is, a TFP news shock. Using a standard ...

Simulations using a Phillips curve-type relationship provide insights into the importance of demand versus supply for inflation over different periods. The decade of low inflation after the Great ...

The COVID-19 pandemic upended housing markets. This blog post launches an interactive chart that accompanies our research paper on pandemic homebuyers.

Good morning and welcome to San Francisco. It’s a complete pleasure to be here today and an honor to be speaking at the WEAI 100th annual conference. That’s quite a milestone, and a testament to the ...

President Daly joined co-anchors Morgan Brennan and Jon Fortt and senior economics reporter Steve Liesman on Closing Bell: Overtime to discuss the state of the economy, inflation, and more. “I ...

At the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, we listen to the perspectives of communities, businesses and non-profit organizations from around our district to better understand local economic and ...

Leilani Barnett, senior outreach manager at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shares insights from the 4th annual Idaho Rural Success Summit, highlighting how rural communities in Idaho are ...