Iran, Israel and oil futures
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"A sustained $10 increase in oil prices is expected to increase inflation by 0.4% and lower GDP by 0.4%": Apollo Global Management 's ( APO -4.34%) chief economist Torston Slok says oil is fueling U.S. stagflation fears, adding to the effect expected from import tariffs.
A sustained surge in oil prices is likely to complicate the U.S. fight against inflation. A $10-a-barrel increase would boost year-over-year growth in the Consumer Price Index by 0.5 percentage points,
Although the U.S. is a net oil exporter, higher oil prices could increase inflation and lower economic growth.
An hour with a big fixed income manager is a discussion of the big issues. Expect volatility, he says – a bit of a tired line, although not an untrue one.
A sustained rise in the price of crude oil, which jumped sharply after Israel attacked Iran, could hurt consumers and President Trump’s efforts to bring down energy costs.
Oil prices leaped, and stocks slumped on worries that escalating violence following Israel’s attack on Iranian nuclear and military targets could damage the flow of crude around the world, along with the global economy.
Israel’s attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities risk pushing back the timeline for Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as the US central bank waits to assess any potential impact on inflation, economists said.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy says rising global oil prices following Israeli strikes on Iran will strengthen Russia by increasing its oil revenues, aiding its war effort in Ukraine